Russia is trying to disperse Ukrainian forces ahead of a planned offensive campaign, the Institute for the Study of War writes in its February 1 assessment .
Russia intends to conduct a decisive offensive operation in Donbas in February or March. Although a Russian invasion from Belarus is exceedingly unlikely, Putin may also be setting conditions for escalated cross-border raids to distract and disperse Ukrainian forces from critical axes of his main offensive campaign.
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Tags: Russian invasion in Belarus, Russo-Ukrainian War (2014-present)
